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2024-12-13 05:40:47

If so, you can take good care of your stock assets, because the acceleration of real estate can't be sustained with the acceleration of debt conversion, especially the change in the statistical caliber of social finance is slowly repairing everyone's confidence. The next step is cpi re-transmission, and then the whole economic model is revitalized, which is the most important pawn at the moment, and liquidity has fallen. In the follow-up, whether it is the development of traditional infrastructure, the development of new infrastructure, the commercialization of land transfer, and the re-emergence of assets to make money, this hurdle has passed, and everyone must have this confidence.Here, everyone who has read history should know that there is an old saying called "the power is not lower than the county, the county is the only clan, and the gentry is built by ethics". Let's retranslate this sentence and put it down. The decentralization of local debt approval is accelerating the process of debt conversion. You can understand that the major policies have been set and can be implemented, and the approval criticized by everyone is directly cut off. We must quickly complete the debt conversion and the county is the only clan.


It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?If so, you can take good care of your stock assets, because the acceleration of real estate can't be sustained with the acceleration of debt conversion, especially the change in the statistical caliber of social finance is slowly repairing everyone's confidence. The next step is cpi re-transmission, and then the whole economic model is revitalized, which is the most important pawn at the moment, and liquidity has fallen. In the follow-up, whether it is the development of traditional infrastructure, the development of new infrastructure, the commercialization of land transfer, and the re-emergence of assets to make money, this hurdle has passed, and everyone must have this confidence.Well, I wish you all a smooth investment in the new week. Some of the contents are a bit so, and you can go to the public snowball if you can't see it. I wish you all a good account.


It's amazing. Remember the picture we drew in the post last week? I didn't wipe it here, so I'll show it to you. Last week, we talked about stepping back to confirm the trend intensity, and touched the horizontal center near 3375 to get a grade 4b. In fact, from our point of view, Thursday was already a short-selling structure with long-term exhaustion. As a result, a positive line was directly repaired, and if it was wrong, it was beaten to attention. You said that the national team didn't know the technology, but he knew the long-short power too well. Let's take a look at the current market in combination with the macro.First, the economic transformation. Let's talk about the debt. In the past, our big bull markets all relied on the mapping of overseas currency issuance. As we said before, whether it was 05 or 15, it was essentially a small basin with a lot of water. The currency overflow caused by the rapid increase of foreign exchange reserves flooded into the stock market, and a crazy bull came quickly, including our institutional blue-chip bull in 1718. In essence, it was the rapid growth of foreign exchange reserves or the superposition of high reserves exceeding m2. Here is a message that everyone needs to pay attention to.So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.

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